Friday, May 15, 2009

051907: JP Morgan gives bullish outlook assessment for RP economy

 

spacer

 



By FIL C. SIONIL

The Philippine economy is poised to pick up its growth on a faster pace this year "powered" by stable macroeconomic fundamentals and improving fiscal condition of the state.

In a press conference held early evening Thursday, Singapore-based JP Morgan Managing Director David G. Fernandez said the challenge, however, is how the country would be able to "unlock" this growth potential.

JP Morgan viewed the domestic economy as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP) to inch up to 5.6 percent for this year, relatively higher assumptions compared to other foreign investment banks such as 5.0 percent and 5.1 percent predicted by ING Bank and Standard Chartered Bank, respectively.

The administration economic team, though, is looking at a GDP growth aspiration of between 6.1 percent and 6.7 percent for this year.

Fernandez explained all the necessary requirements for the GDP growth to pick up further steam have been established, citing the macroeconomic policies, which paved the way for a low interest rate regime, peso regaining its lost value versus the US dollar and fiscal strengthening through the implementation of revenues enhancement measures that include a hike in the rate of the expanded value-added tax.

He believed the "key ingredients" in "unlocking the potential" for higher economic growth rate are well in-placed. "The Philippines is catching on the tailwinds of lower interest rates, that’s where we get excited. . . potential can finally be unlocked."

External funds arising from the renewed foreign investors’ appetite for the country coupled by the unceasing uptick in dollar remittances of overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) have, in fact, boosted the value of the peso to rise to its high heights in recent years, now, trading at mid to high P46 levels.

Still, JP Morgan chose to be conservative by keeping its P47 foreign exchange forecast this second quarter. For the third quarter of the year, the investment firm predicted the peso to loose some of value, depreciating by a P1 to a weighted average of P48 before recovering back to P47 end December 2007.

Moving ahead, the investment firm forecasted the local currency to remain firm at P47 during the first quarter of 2008 and the appreciating to gather more steam during the next three months to P46.5 and P46 by end September 2008.

The low interest rate regime will prevail and will be one of the major economic growth drivers, said Kelly Lim-Bate, JP Morgan Securities Philippines, Inc.

The others include the strong balance of payments position, higher capital outlay for infrastructure projects by the state and renewed foreign equity and portfolio investments, specifically in the power and mining sectors.

Lim-Bate opined the real estate sector will experience a more robust grow, propelled by OFWs’ purchases of residential abode as well as the emerging middle-class business process outsourcing (BPO) workforce.

In this regard, she gave Ayala Land Inc., the real estate developing arm of Ayala Group of Companies, and MegaWorld shares a buy stamp.

On the monetary side, Fernandez said Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is unlikely to reduce its key interest rate policy "during the next policy meeting" neither will remove the tiering system on bank’s overnight placements.

 

http://www.mb.com.ph/BSNS2007051994246.html

051907: Stocks reach new all-time high

May 19, 2007
Updated
03:09:11 (Mla time)
Elizabeth Sanchez-Lacson
Inquirer

MANILA, Philippines -- The Philippines' main share index Friday reached its highest level in the 80 years of the stock market, buoyed by heavy foreign buying, good economic indicators and increased corporate earnings, dealers said.

The Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) index closed at 3,449.18 points, its highest finish since stock market trading began in the Philippines in 1927. The previous all-time high was 3,447.60, set on Feb. 3, 1997, shortly before the 1997-98 Asian economic crisis affected the Philippines.

At the spot currency market, the peso rallied to 46.60 to the dollar Friday, a new six-year high, after the central bank, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) said Thursday that foreign portfolio investments in April rose 40 percent from a month earlier to $243.1 million.

Traders said heavy foreign buying of Philippine stocks was spurred by an investor roadshow in Manila early this week by global financial services giant JP Morgan for foreign fund managers.

"The JP Morgan conference boosted confidence and possibly translated into orders. The buying was coming from JP Morgan," said Joseph Roxas, president of Eagle Equities Inc.

Total foreign buying reached P2.75 billion Friday as against total foreign selling of P1.676 billion, for net foreign buying of roughly P1.07 billion.

"Market sentiment was buoyed by good economic indicators and corporate results. Also, election-related concerns are out of the way," said Gomer Tan of Regina Capital Development Corp.

In MalacaƱang, President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo said in a statement: "The vibrancy of Philippine democracy is matched by the exuberance of our stock market. We are edified by the confidence shown by our financial market and investors in our ability to surmount the myriad challenges that usually exist in any election. Our journey to peace, stability and progress is unimpeded."

PSE president Francis Lim said, "A confluence of favorable developments helped the PSE set a new record and I am confident that the same factors will support our market as it blazes new stock market trails. The positive development includes improvement in government's fiscal position, falling interest and inflation rates and higher corporate earnings."

Lim said the market's record-breaking performance came on the heels of the relatively peaceful elections held last May 14.

"I believe that the market surge represents our own peace dividend from the elections which the market views to be relatively peaceful," he said.

"All this helped elevate level of confidence of investors in the market and explained why more and more investors are investing their money in our markets thereby increasing value turnover," he added.

As investors ignored Wall Street's retreat and focused on the domestic economy, the main index rose by 31.49 points or 0.92 percent from Thursday's close.

The main index traded between 3,457.93 and 3,419.40. It was the third straight session that the key index posted a record intraday high.

The broader all-share index jumped 17.88 points to 2,200.25.

There were 62 gainers and 40 losers, and 57 issues closed unchanged.

A total of 3.1 billion shares worth P9.7 billion were traded, including a cross sale of San Miguel Corp. Class B shares worth P4.82 billion.

For the week, the composite index ended higher than a week earlier by 84.57 points, or 2.51 percent, at 3,449.18. Average daily turnover rose to 3.69 billion shares, worth P6.33 billion, from 3.52 billion shares worth P4.32 billion last week.

http://services.inquirer.net/express/07/05/19/html_output/xmlhtml/20070519-66813-xml.html

051907: Stocks could hit new all-time high next week

May 18, 2007
Updated
16:23:29 (Mla time)

Agence France-Presse

MANILA, Philippines--Share prices could hit a new all-time high next week as the result of the generally peaceful mid-term elections, analysts said Friday.

"We expect the market to attempt to reach the all-time high given... the positive sentiment, positive earnings, and healthier economy after the generally peaceful election,"said Lawrence de Leon of Accord Capital Equities Inc.

The Philippines held its elections on Monday for half of its 24-seat Senate and 275 seats in the House of Representatives as well as for thousands of local positions.

Although the death toll from election-related violence has gone over a hundred, the voting itself was peaceful in most of the country.

"We are trying to test the 3,450 level if the election counting would push through smoothly. It would go up higher by next week and maybe set new all-time high," said Rommel Macapagal of Westlink Global Equities Inc.

For the week to May 18, the composite index rose 84.57 points or by 2.51 percent to 3,449.18.

Average daily turnover this week rose to 3.69 billion shares worth P6.33 billion (135.55 million dollars) from 3.52 billion shares worth P4.32 billion in the previous week.

http://services.inquirer.net/express/07/05/19/html_output/xmlhtml/20070518-66716-xml.html

051807: Shares close firmer on rosy outlook

May 18, 2007
Updated
14:41:47 (Mla time)
Erik de la Cruz
Xinhua Financial News Service

MANILA, Philippines -- Share prices edged higher, lifting the main index to a record level at the close, as investors chose to focus on the bullish outlook for the Philippine economy and ignored Wall Street's retreat overnight and in most Asian markets this morning, dealers said.

Strong interest in Manila Electric Co (Meralco) sustained the market's momentum, pushing the index to a new trading high of 3,457.93 before paring gains towards the close. It was the third straight session that the key index posted a record high intraday.

The 30-company composite index finished up 31.49 points or 0.92 percent at 3,449.18, erasing the previous closing record of 3,447.60 set on Feb 3, 1997. It hit a low of 3,419.40.

For the week, the composite index climbed 2.5 percent.

The broader all-share index jumped 17.88 points or 0.82 percent to 2,200.25.

There were 62 gainers and 40 losers, while 57 stocks were unchanged.

A total of 3.1 billion shares worth P9.7 billion were traded.

"Market sentiment was buoyed by good economic indicators and corporate results. Also, election-related concerns are out of the way," said Gomer Tan, vice president for marketing at Regina Capital Development Corp.

At the spot currency market, the peso rallied to 46.65 against the US dollar in morning trade, a new high in six years, after the central bank said Thursday that foreign portfolio investments in April registered a net inflow of $243.1 million, up 40 percent from 173.21 million in March.

The counting of votes after last Monday's midterm elections continued with the opposition poised to retain control of the Senate, based on initial tallies. President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo's allies, however, are expected to grab majority of the seats in the House of Representatives.

"The victory of the overwhelming majority of candidates sympathetic to the administration shows a vote for political stability and economic reform," Arroyo told an investor conference on Thursday, referring to election results for the Lower House and local government posts.

"We are edified by the confidence shown by our financial market and investors in our ability to surmount the myriad challenges that usually exist in any election," Arroyo later added in a statement Friday.

Meralco's A-shares, which only Filipinos can buy, jumped P9.00 or 11.54 percent to 87.00. Its B-shares, which are open to foreign investors, rose P8.00 or 10.06 percent to 87.50.

Ron Rodrigo, research head at Unicapital Securities, said investors were probably speculating that Meralco will soon get regulatory approval for its tariff hike petition.

In an interview with XFN-Asia, First Philippine Holdings Corp. president Elpidio IBanez said the company was hoping for a favorable decision from the Energy Regulatory Commission on Meralco's petition by July.

First Philippine Holdings, one of the biggest shareholders of Meralco, was up P4.00 or 5.37 percent at 78.50. Its parent, Benpres Holdings Corp, rose P0.15 or 3.95 percent to 3.95.

Conglomerate Ayala Corp gained P10.00 or 1.96 percent to 520.00.

Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co advanced P15.00 or 0.59 percent to 2,540.00.

Food and beverage group San Miguel Corp's A-shares rose P1.50 or 2.0 percent to 76.50, but its B-shares fell P2.00 or 2.44 percent to 80.00.

Data from the stock exchange showed 56.68 million San Miguel B-shares were sold in a single transaction at P85.00 apiece or a total of P4.8 billion. No other details were immediately available.

Analysts said the market may take a breather following its strong gains this week.

"We may see a technical correction and consolidation next week," Unicapital's Rodrigo said.

http://services.inquirer.net/express/07/05/18/html_output/xmlhtml/20070518-66667-xml.html

0510807: RP shares advance over 10-yr. high

 

By Ian C. Sayson

Bloomberg

 

THE Philippine stock index yesterday rose for the fourth day to the highest in more than 10 years. Bank of the Philippine Islands rose after the central bank said loan growth will continue due to lower interest rates.

“An expansion in lending would be good for banks because that would mean more business for them,” said Tanya Cua, analyst at the Manila unit of Macquarie Securities Ltd. “Lending would encourage more economic activity.”

Alliance Global Group Inc., which owns part of McDonald’s Corp. in the Philippines, climbed for the first time in seven days after the company said first-quarter profit tripled.

The Philippine Stock Exchange index advanced 8.49, or 0.3 percent, to 3417.69 at the close, after climbing 2 percent in the past three days.

The measure is less than 30 points away from its record close of 3447.60, a level it reached on February 3, 1997. It breached that level earlier Thursday, when it rose as much as 1.3 percent.

Bank of the Philippine Islands, the nation’s second-biggest lender by asset, added 50 centavos, or 0.7 percent, to P68, rounding a 5.4 percent, four-day climb. Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co., the nation’s largest lender by asset, climbed 50 centavos, or 0.8 percent, to P63.50, a two-week high.

Bank lending will continue to expand after accelerating for the first time in three months in March, when it increased 9.9 percent, because the central bank has effectively lowered its key interest rate, deputy governor Diwa Guinigundo said Wednesday after trading closed.

 

Ayala Land

THE central bank in November cut the rate it pays commercial banks for some overnight deposits to encourage lending to businesses and consumers, while holding its key rate steady.

An expansion in bank lending could boost consumer spending, spurring demand for homes, food, clothes and phone services, according to analysts such as Astro del Castillo, managing director of First Grade Holdings Inc., a financial management and advisory company in Manila.

Ayala Land Inc., the nation’s largest developer, added 25 centavos, or 1.7 percent, to P15.25, its first gain in five days. SM Prime Holdings Inc., the nation’s largest shopping mall operator, gained 25 centavos, or 2.1 percent, to P12.25, its highest close since February 27.

Alliance Global, which also owns 46 percent of Megaworld Corp., jumped 20 centavos, or 3.2 percent, to P6.40, after sliding 7.5 percent in the past six sessions. The company said first-quarter net income grew to P494 million as it opened more McDonald’s outlets and its property unit sold more homes and offices.

Megaworld, a builder of residential and office towers, gained 5 centavos, or 1.3 percent, to P3.95, rounding a five-day, 13-percent climb. Megaworld said Thursday it will accelerate by six months the construction of twin office towers in Manila for back-office service providers and call centers in anticipation of stronger demand.

Shares worth P3.92 billion were traded, 8.4-percent less than the six-month daily average. Losers beat gainers 53 to 44, with 62 stocks unchanged in the broader market.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/0518&192007/companies02.html

051807: Investors keep fingers crossed

Vol. XX, No. 207
Friday, May 18, 2007 | MANILA, PHILIPPINES

Today’s Headlines

after the May 14 elections, foreign businessmen are keeping their fingers crossed that elected politicians actually legislate reforms needed to boost the country’s competitiveness and lure investors.

They said this may not be easy since unofficial and official counts show the Senate and the House of Representatives headed for another term of clashes that could derail the passage of key measures.

Still, officials of the Joint Foreign Chambers yesterday said they were more "optimistic" than ever about doing business in the Philippines.

"As foreign investors we can’t take a position in Philippine politics. Our hope is that whatever the composition of Congress, [legislators] have the future of the country in their heart," said Henry J. Schumacher, executive director of the European Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines.

According to latest counts, the opposition is leading the senatorial race. The Palace, meanwhile, has already declared victory at the local and the congressional district levels.

But Frederick C. DyBuncio, country manager of international financial services firm JP Morgan Chase and Co., said foreign investors generally saw the elections as a "non-event" and that the concern over Congress’ composition is "not the feedback [we] are getting [from clients]."

"From the investors’ point of view, there’s no change in the current political environment. It’s pretty much status quo," he said.

"With the President saying that she will not give up short term gains for long term gains, investors believe her. Otherwise, they would not have come here," he said at the sidelines of a two-day international business forum organized by JP Morgan in Makati City.

The JP Morgan "Philippines Corporate Access Days" forum, dubbed "Coming Back to the Philippines", includes 200 global clients and is the firm’s first local event since 2000.

"After the Asian financial crisis, there has been lesser interest in the region. But now you’ve seen the stock market, the peso ... there is now an increase in interest to [bring in] new investments," Mr. DyBuncio said.

Robert M. Sears, chairman of the American Chamber of Commerce in the Philippines, Inc., said the "confidence level is up."

"Let’s get through the elections and see what’s ahead. So far everything appears to be okay. But my personal concern is the number of killings," he said.

Over a hundred people have been killed so far in election related violence.

"We’re just waiting for Comelec (Commission on Elections) to come up with the official results," Mr. Sears added.

Sean Georget, executive director of the Canadian Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines, told BusinessWorld the recent billion-dollar investment of Texas Instruments, Inc. and the announcement that infrastructure works are picking up are "news that we haven’t seen in a number of years."

The Public Works Department has said that major infrastructure projects under the President’s super-regions program will go into full swing after the elections and that a 2010 target would be met.

Mr. Georget also played down the country’s lower competitiveness ranking - 45th from 42nd - in the 2007 World Competitiveness Yearbook of Switzerland-based International Institute for Management Development.

"It’s a perception issue ... [improvement in the rankings] will come naturally [with reforms]," he said.

Mr. DyBuncio said JP Morgan Philippines toured business executives since Wednesday in a bid to show that "it’s different when [they] actually come to the country."

The Joint Foreign Chambers has sought legislative approval of measures such as the creation of the Philippine Trade Representative Office; regulation of phone calls over the Internet; a law encouraging the use of "green" energy; bills to strengthen small entrepreneurs; an anti-smuggling law; pre-need code; a law to regulate collective investment vehicles such as unit investment trust funds; and the rationalization of fiscal incentives.

They are also urging incumbent lawmakers to pass key measures such as the creation of a credit information bureau, amendments to the customs brokerage act, and the national tourism policy act before the 13th Congress formally closes next month.

Mr. Schumacher also said foreign businessmen want ownership limitations set by the Constitution removed, brushing aside fears that moves to change the charter - a politically sensitive matter - would be derailed anew.

"That (the earlier charter change initiative) was a political issue, but if you take the President’s words that she would open up the Constitution to the rest of the world, that’s good news and that will attract more FDIs (foreign direct investments)," Mr. Schumacher said.

British Chamber of Commerce of the Philippines director Michael Whiting said the Arroyo administration has put in quite a number of reforms but more should be done.

"We are in the right direction ... but we can’t be complacent," he said.


Arroyo makes pitch for Philippines, says RP ‘the best value in Asia today’

President Gloria Macapagal- Arroyo yesterday vowed that politics would not derail the Philippines’ economic resurgence.

"I think we’re the best value in Asia today," Mrs. Arroyo told a JP Morgan Chase equity conference, the firm’s first in the country since 2000.

"Our economy has reached a new level of maturity and stability with some of the strongest macroeconomic fundamentals in a decade. Politics will not alter the course of our economic comeback," she said.

With politicians "sympathetic" to her administration returning to elected posts, "political stability and economic reform" will be assured for the remaining three years of her term, she said.

Mrs. Arroyo promised to maintain her administration’s focus on "economic reform [and] pro-growth, pro-trade and pro-investment strategies that help lift up our people from poverty and helping the Philippines finally into contention as a real investment destination."

The single biggest act that showed her administration meant serious business, she said, was pushing for the passage of the value-added tax (VAT) law despite strong public opposition. Mrs. Arroyo said she did not want to sacrifice long-term gains for short-term political expediency.

"In one bold stroke, it (the VAT law) raised enormous revenue. It also sent an unmistakable signal that we are serious about moving the nation forward," she said.

Had the tax law had not been passed, the Philippines would not have averted a fiscal crisis, Mrs. Arroyo said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal on Tuesday.

Aside from keeping fiscal discipline, targeting a balanced budget by 2008 and investing in human and physical infrastructure, Mrs. Arroyo said her administration remains keen in overhauling the political system by shifting into a parliamentary form of government.

"Now we have to work on political reform because ... the political system is still a mess. It’s not worthy of a modern nation," she said.

Moves by her congressional allies and local executives to change the Constitution last year failed in the face of public resistance.

Mrs. Arroyo also said reforms will include measures that will liberalize the entry of foreign investment.

An step was taken when the Supreme Court upheld the Mining Act in 2005, effectively increasing the industry’s exports to $2 billion in 2006 from $800 million in 2005, she said.

Mrs. Arroyo said that during a trip to Australia later this month, she will "try to swing the final decision" for a huge mining investment.

"We’re feeling the interest," the President said.

At the close of her speech, Mrs. Arroyo said: "The short answer to continuing economic growth is sounded in three words: invest, invest, invest."

http://www.bworldonline.com/BW051807/content.php?id=001

051707: RP stocks advance to 10-yr. high

 

 

By Ian C. Sayson

Bloomberg

 

THE Philippine stock index Wednesday climbed for a third day to the highest in more than 10 years, on speculation the result of Congressional elections will not hamper President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo from managing the economy.

“There is optimism that Mrs. Arroyo will maintain control of both chambers of Congress,” said Fitzgerald Aclan, who helps manage $2 billion of assets at Banco de Oro in Manila. “It appears that her opponents who will make it to the Senate are not the anti-Arroyo hardliners.”

San Miguel Corp. and Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. led gains among the nation’s biggest companies. Filinvest Land Inc. rose after the company said first-quarter profit grew 64 percent. Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) fell as investors took advantage of recent gains.

The Philippine Stock Exchange index added 0.47, or less than 0.1 percent, to 3409.20 at the close in Manila, after climbing 1.3 percent Tuesday to the highest since February 3, 1997. The index is up 14 percent this year.

The measure is less than 40 points away from its record 3447.60, a level it closed at on February 3, 1997. It breached that level earlier Wednesday, when it rose as much as 1.3 percent.

“Some investors took the climb to a record as an opportune time to pocket their gains, that’s why we see some stocks like energy ending the day lower,” said Astro del Castillo, managing director of First Grade Holding Inc., a financial management and advisory company in Manila.

Class A shares of San Miguel, equity reserved for Filipinos in the nation’s largest food and drinks company, gained P4, or 5.3 percent, to P80, a record close, according to data that runs until January 1990.

 

Meralco falls

METROBANK, the nation’s largest lender by asset, rose 50 centavos, or 0.8 percent, to P63, a two-week high. Bank of the Philippine Islands, the nation’s largest lender by market value, gained 50 centavos, or 0.8 percent, to P67.50, rounding a three-day, 4.7 percent advance.

Meralco’s Class A shares fell P3, or 3.7 percent, to P78, its biggest loss since March 14. The stock’s 14-day relative strength index, a measure made up of changes in its share price in the past two weeks, was at 71.  A score over 70 is a signal that the stock is poised to fall.

Meralco’s Class B shares, equity in the nation’s largest power retailer which have no ownership restriction, declined P3.50, or 4.3 percent, to P77.50, trimming this year’s gain to 41 percent.

The Philippines on May 14 held its mid-term elections, putting at stake 12 seats of the 24-member Senate, and all of the 230 seats in the House of Representatives. Mrs. Arroyo’s allies are expected to grab two-thirds of the House while her opponents, who include former ally Manuel Villar and Loren Legarda, are expected to get six of the Senate seats up for grabs.

 

Policy disruption unlikely

“ARROYO’S opponents are not likely to get the numbers needed to impeach her or disrupt her program,” Aclan said. “Philippine politics aren’t strictly divided along party lines.”

SM Investments Corp., the nation’s third-largest company by market value, added P10, or 2.6 percent, to P402.50, a three-month high. Manila Water Co., the nation’s most profitable water utility, rose 25 centavos, or 2.1 percent, to P12.

Stocks also rose after the central bank said money transfers from Filipinos working overseas, which make up 10 percent of the economy, rose at a faster pace, expanding 26 percent in March to $1.3 billion. The remittances sent home are funding spending on food, phones and homes.

 

Megaworld, Meralco

MEGAWORLD Corp., one of the nation’s biggest builders of residential towers and which sources at least 25 percent of home sales from overseas Filipinos, rose 10 centavos, or 2.6 percent, to P3.90.

Belle Corp., a builder of a high-end mountain resort south of Manila, added 2 centavos, or 1.5 percent, to P1.40, extending this year’s gain to 25 percent.

Filinvest Land, the nation’s largest builder of affordable homes, jumped 8 centavos, or 4.7 percent, to P1.80, its biggest gain since March 13.

The builder said Tuesday after trading closed that its net income in the first quarter grew 64 percent to P252 million as it sold more homes.

JG Summit Holdings Inc., owner of the nation’s largest snacksmaker, fell 25 centavos, or 2 percent, to P12. The company said Tuesday after trading closed that first-quarter profit declined by more than half from a year ago to P1.75 billion due to absence of one-time gains.

Separately, national treasurer Omar Cruz said earlier Wednesday that the government probably had its second budget surplus this year in April. The government targets to end years of budget gaps by 2008.

Shares worth P6.05 billion were traded, 42 percent more than the six-month daily average. Losers beat gainers 59 to 58, with 51 stocks unchanged in the broader market.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/05172007/companies03.html

051607: Shares close flat on profit-taking

May 16, 2007
Updated
14:03:22 (Mla time)

Xinhua Financial News Service

MANILA, Philippines -- Share prices closed little changed on profit-taking in blue chips like Philippine Long Distance Telephone Co. after the main index jumped to an all-time high during the session, finally catching up with the record breaking run in other regional bourses, dealers said.

Investors were quick to cash in gains that began Tuesday as they cheered the generally peaceful conduct of Monday's midterm elections. But the buying momentum soon lost steam, only allowing the key index to chart a new high in more than a decade at the close.

The 30-company composite index finished up 0.47 point at 3,409.20, its best closing level since Feb. 4, 1997 when it settled at 3,398.89. But during the session, the index rose over 1 percent to a new trading high of 3,451.73.

The broader all-share index was up 4.54 points or 0.2 percent at 2,178.19.

Losers slightly beat gainers, 59 to 58, while 51 stocks were unchanged.

A total of 5.1 billion shares worth P6 billion were traded.

"The market will retest the all-time high but it had to take a breather from which it would consolidate and build a stronger base," said Gomer Tan, an analyst at Reginal Capital Development Corp.

Ron Rodrigo, an analyst with Unicapital Securities, said caution may reign in coming sessions with all eyes on the results of the midterm polls where half of the 24-seat Senate is at stake along with all of the 236-member House of Representatives and more than 18,000 local government posts.

The government's Commission on Elections just started canvassing votes Wednesday and is expected to finish its job in 10 days.

Megaworld Corp., the most actively traded stock, edged up P0.10 or 2.63 percent to P3.90.

Food and beverage conglomerate San Miguel Corp.'s A-shares gained P4 or 5.26 percent to P80, but its B-shares shed P1 or 1.15 percent to P86.

Other gainers were SM Investments Corp. which rose P10 or 2.55 percent to P402.50, Equitable PCI Bank Inc., up P3 or 2.75 percent to P112, while property developer Filinvest Land Inc. rose P0.08 or 4.65 percent to P1.80.

PLDT led the day's decliners, losing P20 to P2,545.

Power distributor Manila Electric Co.'s A-shares fell P3 or 3.70 percent to P78, while its B-shares slipped P3.50 or 4.32 percent to P77.50.

First Philippine Holdings Corp. closed P3 or 3.95 percent lower at P73 and conglomerate Ayala Corp. dropped P5 to P605.

http://services.inquirer.net/express/07/05/16/html_output/xmlhtml/20070516-66238-xml.html

051607: Study to seek information on profits of micro enterprises

 

 

 

By Rommer M. Balaba

Reporter

 

A World Bank study measuring microenterprise profits in developing countries issued a policy suggestion to ask owners directly for their profits rather than detailed revenue and expense accounts for their small businesses.

The bank, from its experience giving firms diaries to record daily revenue and expenses, observed small firms underreport revenues by around 30 percent when asked to list down specific items.

Account diaries impact significantly on both revenues and expenses, but not on profits, and that simply asking profits gave a more accurate measurement than detailed questions on revenues and expenses, the bank’s authors Suresh de Mel, David J. McKenzie and Christopher Woodruff explained in their working paper.

“Monthly sales are understated when recalled after four months compared to one month. However, there is little recall error associated with annual sales compared to quarterly collection of monthly sales,” they said.

“Accurate measurement of profits from microenterprises is, therefore, critical for studying poverty and inequality, measuring the returns to education and evaluating the success of microfinance programs,” the writers added.

In the Philippines small and medium enterprises (SMEs) make up over 95 percent of existing businesses but lack of dependable access to finance in spite government programs to promote their financial development and competitiveness. Financial institutions consider these businesses as risky customers because of inadequate independent financial information about them.

Ratings firm Standard & Poor’s had suggested giving local SMEs quality rating, as what is now being done in India, to widen financing windows, governance and credibility with their customers.

“Sometimes you should just ask for the sausage and not ask how it is made,” the authors said, referring to attempts to better map out microenterprise profit.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/05162007/economy03.html

041907: Market Files - Investment scam in a hospital

 

 

 

Investment scam in a hospital

 

With the interest rates on bank deposits tumbling down to new lows, there has been an upsurge in investment scams that purportedly offer higher rates, apparently to entice investors to part with their money.

The scams have been fine-tuned to effectively go over the initial resistance of investors even with the continuous warning from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the public to be wary of offers of fantastic rates for money placements.

The investment scams, even coming from supposedly SEC-registered companies, should be thoroughly scrutinized by the investing public who get wooed by such offers of high rates. Unfortunately, the SEC’s warning continues to come unheeded as can be gleaned from emerging reports of another pyramiding scheme uncovered—unfortunately late in the game—by investors who fell for the very high rates of return initially offered for their money.

Reports filtering out from a noted hospital in a Metro Manila area show that a couple has apparently victimized their colleagues in what is emerging as another Ponzi scheme. Conservative estimates place the investments that were gathered from the unsuspecting doctors and other hospital personnel at P700 million. One doctor-victim, we learned, has already sought for the garnishment of the couple’s assets after filing a case in the courts for the recovery of upward of P10 million in investments.

And to think that the SEC has not been remiss in its timely updates on the resurgence of investment scams as it has linked up even with an Australian government agency that specializes in running after boiler room operators or pyramid operations.

In fact, a cursory look at the SEC’s website would immediately alert the public to the do’s and don’ts insofar as investments are concerned. Aside from this, the commission comes up with press announcements reminding the public against being sweet-talked into parting with their money in return for abnormally high interest rates.

We understand that the couple-doctor initially paid for the promised fantastic rates on the investments of their colleagues and friends. As the buzz on the high rates reached other doctors and hospital personnel, the couple-doctor got more and more investments and the pyramid went higher and higher. Well, after less than a year, the couple-doctor can no longer give the promised rate of return with checks issued getting rubbery and the investors getting jittery.

But as the couple-doctor were part of the hospital group, the initial explanations for the non-payment of the interest-cum-principal was accepted though grudgingly by the investors. Until the garnishment case, when it hits the fan, results in the investors-victims rushing for the recovery of their investments and doing one-upmanship as the base of the pyramid comes tumbling down. By then, the investors would be looking at the loss of their principals, some rolled over together with the high interest.

Now, the investors should take heed from the SEC’s own admonition on the proliferation of investment scams. As per the commission’s warning, investors should not “be tricked “ into investing in securities, bonds, commercial papers and other investment instruments unless the securities they sell are registered with the commission. One telltale sign though is the offer of fantastic rates, which could not be borne by the realities of running a business.

SEC’s warning also point out that registration of a company with the commission does not accord it with the authority to offer securities, bonds and other investment instruments to the public. Only investment houses and financing companies with quasi-banking license are allowed to sell these securities, which should, however, be registered first. The investing public, including the overseas workers, will have to take this to heart lest they become victims like the doctors in a Metro Manila hospital.

 

E-mail: hugagni@yahoo.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/04192007/opinion04.html

Friday, May 01, 2009

051607: P1.4-B savings from poorest debtors

 

 

By Jun Vallecera

Reporter

 

NEARLY penniless people obtained financing from microlenders in 2006 aggregating to P4 billion and turned around for the better the lives of 650,100 of their members.

And like true entrepreneurs, said Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando M. Tetangco Jr., they did not spend all of their profits in conspicuous consumption but set aside a good portion as savings.

As a result, the microborrowers accumulated savings aggregating to P1.4 billion, or the equivalent of P2,000 for each one that joined the program.

But still the regulators, who inherited the program from the late BSP governor Rafael Carlos B. Buenaventura, were not satisfied with last year’s outcome, saying much “remains to be done.”

“Millions of Filipinos still live in poverty, without access to financial services that could empower them to better their lives. There is therefore an urgency to sustain our momentum, to bring microfinance to where it is needed the most, and thereby make a difference in uplifting the quality of life of our entrepreneurial and industrious poor,” Tetangco said in honoring the achievements of microborrowers recently.

Most banks would not touch the entrepreneural poor even with a 10-foot pole fearing the attendant risks, later disproved, and nightmarish administrative issues that come with servicing their requirements.

Regular bankers consider them a high-volume but low-yield market, no matter that 98 percent to 99 percent of its borrowers pay up versus the horrid repayment rate of their richer cousins.

The BSP is bent on overcoming that false but popular perception of the microborrower, and just three weeks earlier the policy-making monetary board approved the classification of commercial banks’ microfinance loans to nonbank microfinance institutions as alternative compliance to the mandatory credit allocation of 6 percent to small enterprises.

“This is a significant incentive for banks to provide wholesale loans that will increase the microfinance operations of retail institutions,” Tetangco said.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/05162007/headlines03.html

051607: Stock market in 10-year best after polls

 

By Louise M. Francisco

Researcher

 

AFTER experiencing relatively peaceful midterm elections, dealers cheered Tuesday as the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE) index closed at its highest in a decade and breaching the 3,400-point mark at 3,408.73.

It is the index’s best finish after it closed to 3,398.89 on February 4, 1997. It recorded a 14.3-percent increase from last year’s 2,982.54-point mark level.

Stocks rose on the belief that President Arroyo would be able to control the House of Representatives while driving for economic reforms. See RP Stocks, B2.

PSE president and chief executive officer Francis Lim expressed happiness with the output of the market’s main barometer and even lauded the performance of listed companies. “Corporate earnings last year also improved; and, for the first quarter of this year as well. On top of these, regional markets are doing well, which of course have a favorable impact on our market.”

Lim added that the convergence of favorable developments from both the political and economic front will definitely benefit the stock market.

The Philippine peso remained stronger in weakening the US dollar to close at P47.06, boosted by the remittances from Filipinos working overseas. This development is helping boost confidence in the local economy.

The volume of dollars went up by 24 percent year-on-year to $3.5 billion for the first quarter.

In March alone, the inflows hit $1.3 billion and approximated the level of the previous December, when millions of OFWs remitted more than the usual amount for the Christmas holidays.

“Remittances of overseas Filipino workers coursed through banks remained above $1 billion for the 11th straight month since May 2006,” said Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. on Tuesday.

 

http://www.businessmirror.com.ph/05162007/headlines02.html